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Análises de mercado

Análises, perspetivas e lições dos mercados.

Atualizado 13/10

Daily Infinity News

Daily Infinity Geopolitical/Technical News: Riyadh Under Fire for a Fourth Day as Gold Tests $4,200

Houthi drone and missile waves hit Riyadh airport for a fourth straight day while Iran keeps Hormuz shut; gold presses on $4,200 as US 10-year yields slip to 5.194% ahead of Wednesday’s CPI.

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Novo

Daily Infinity News

Riyadh Airport Strike Spikes Gold to $4,216 Before Profit-Taking

Gold reversed from a $4,216 Asian spike to $4,188 as crude slid on Russian diesel and energy-truce reports, with the US bond market closed for Columbus Day and September CPI due Wednesday.

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Atualizado 7/10

Daily Infinity News

Bab el-Mandeb in Flames: Brent at $104.60 as Yields Cap Gold at $4,132

Overnight Red Sea clashes and missile launches at Saudi energy corridors lift Brent to $104.60, while elevated yields cap gold at $4,132 ahead of tonight’s FOMC Minutes.

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Novo

Daily Infinity News

Gold Rebounds to $4,180 as Hormuz Risk Meets Core PCE Day

Spot gold trades near USD 4,180 and Brent near USD 102.6 as month-end, Core PCE, ADP and Williams’ softer Fed tone frame Wednesday’s session.

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Daily Infinity News

Gold Crushed by Real Yields as Trump Rejects Iran’s Hormuz Offer

Gold slid about 4% on Monday to $4,130 as US yields hit 2007 highs and Trump rejected Tehran’s 7-day Hormuz proposal, with Brent holding near $104.

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XAU/USD - Macro

Oil eases on Hormuz hopes while yields hold near multi-year highs

Crude slides for a second session on reports of a phased US-Iran deal to reopen Hormuz, the 30-year Treasury yield sits at its highest since 2004, and a hawkish chorus of Fed and European central bankers keeps the dollar bid. Gold is stuck in the middle.

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Daily Infinity News

Gold Retreats as Dollar Strength Outweighs Hormuz Risk

Gold and Brent extend Monday’s pullback as a hawkish Fed and firmer dollar overshadow lingering Hormuz Strait supply tension ahead of the UN General Assembly and the Trump-Xi summit.

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Atualizado 21/09

Daily Infinity News

Riyadh in Flames: Trump Weighs Strike on Iran as Oil Slides

Houthi strikes on Riyadh and Yanbu send oil lower while gold holds above $4,350 as the Fed stays hawkish and ETF demand hits records.

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XAU/USD · Macro analysis

Surveys say boom, factories say stall: gold reclaims $4,400 after the Fed’s first hike since 2023

US manufacturing output fell 0.3% in August against a 0.3% expected gain, while the surveys still point to expansion. The Fed hiked into that gap on Wednesday, and gold is back at $4,400.

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Daily Infinity News

Por que o ouro quase não reagiu a um Fed firme — uma análise macro aprofundada

Análise de cenários da An Infinity Original: os limites da política do Fed contra a inflação de custos, a armadilha da dívida americana, e por que o ouro caiu apenas minimamente após a alta de setembro — com os Cenários A e B.

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Daily Infinity News

Gold Holds $4,300 After Hawkish Fed, Oil Stays Tense on Saudi Risk

Daily Infinity News: gold consolidates above $4,300 after the Fed’s hawkish 25bp hike, while Brent crude stays elevated on Saudi pipeline damage and Yemen conflict risk.

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Daily Infinity News

Saudi pipeline in flames: Brent surges past $108 as gold hunts for a floor

A drone strike on the Saudi East-West pipeline and an attack in the Strait of Hormuz have pushed Brent to $108, while gold slides to $4,328 as Fed rate-hike odds jump to 87% ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC.

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Daily Infinity News

Gold climbs back above $4,400 ahead of decisive CPI

Oil above $102, Hormuz under pressure, and the Fed pricing in nearly 70% odds of a September rate hike – today’s US CPI at 14:30 CEST will decide XAU/USD’s next move.

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Daily Infinity News

Hormuz in flames: oil above $100 pushes gold into an inflation trap

Brent has broken through the psychological $100 mark and is pushing toward $102, the US 10-year yield has spiked to 4.85%, and gold remains stuck just above $4,400. Today’s PPI print will decide where the market moves next.

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XAU/USD - Central banks

Central bank gold demand remains resilient

Central banks bought a net 23 tonnes of gold in July, led by China’s 21st straight month of purchases and Poland’s 90 tonnes year-to-date. Buying has slowed from a year ago, but the official sector still provides a structural floor – and a soft ADP print plus dovish Waller comments gave gold a 2% lift on Thursday.

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Daily Infinity News

Gold rebounds, but Hormuz and Friday’s NFP will decide the direction

Gold climbs back above $4,430 after a weaker ADP print and falling yields, while the Hormuz geopolitical premium and stressed European bonds keep the market on edge ahead of Friday’s NFP.

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XAU/USD - Middle East

Gold extends its decline as inflation and rate-hike risks intensify

A third straight session of losses takes gold to around $4,305 as renewed US-Iran strikes lift oil, markets price a near-70% chance of a September Fed hike and the 30-year Treasury yield climbs back above 5.28%. Safe-haven demand is not enough to offset the energy-driven inflation headwind.

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XAU/USD · Technical analysis

XAUUSD technical analysis

Precise support and resistance zones, momentum and RSI context – where exactly we expect the next breakout, backed by numbers, not guesses.

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XAU/USD · Geopolitical update

Geopolitical update (Hidden Triangles) v6 – major update, 27 August 2026

The Fed fork reopens ahead of Jackson Hole, US debt tops $40 trillion, Taiwan launches its largest-ever mobilization, and gold rallies 14% in August to ~$4,600. Also available in SK/EN/HU.

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XAU - Outlook

Gold in a market that fears the dollar

The US Treasury’s push to cap long-dated yields – a JPY intervention, a hint of a new Operation Twist and TGA-funded bond buying – has flooded the market with dollar-debasement fears. We look at why gold is the cleanest beneficiary and what could keep the bid going.

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XAU/USD · Macro analysis

Jackson Hole playbook: what a dovish Powell means for gold

Three scenarios for the Jackson Hole speech, their probabilities, and what each one means for gold and our sequences.

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XAU/USD · Educational guide

The four channels of gold

Why does even a huge headline sometimes fail to move the gold price? We break down the four channels – real yields, the dollar, geopolitics and central banks – the framework we use in every update.

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XAG/USD · Technical analysis

Gold/silver ratio check: is silver about to catch up?

The gold/silver ratio slipped from 92 to 84 while gold kept rising. What that says about the breadth of the precious-metals bid, plus levels for XAG/USD.

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XAU/USD · Update

Hidden triangles – 29 June

Consolidation patterns on the daily chart – where we expect the breakout and our specific entry zones.

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XAU/USD · Macro analysis

Warsh’s fork – July 2026

The Fed chair has two paths ahead – both lead to gold. An analysis of why the drop to $4,067 is an entry opportunity.

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Os quatro canais, em direto

Rendimentos reais, o dólar e o ouro nos últimos doze meses. A procura dos bancos centrais é trimestral e fica no texto.

Rendimento real a 10 anos (TIPS)

2,87% · Variação em 12 meses: +1,14%

Rendimento real a 10 anos (TIPS)

Índice alargado do dólar

121,4 · Variação em 12 meses: +0,2

Índice alargado do dólar

Ouro (XAUUSD)

4163 · Variação em 12 meses: +67

Ouro (XAUUSD)
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